Earlier this evening Peter King of Sports Illustrated reported that the St. Louis Rams have received interest from a mystery team for the #2 pick in the NFL Draft and the right to draft Baylor QB Robert Griffin III. We know according to an ESPN.com report that the Rams have already had initial trade discussions with the Cleveland Browns, Washington Redskins, and Miami Dolphins but who could this mystery fourth team be?
Common sense says it can’t be a team too much further down than Miami who picks 8th. Which basically eliminates a team like Philadelphia who picks 15th and would be looking to likely dump Mike Vick in the trade. St. Louis has no need for a QB so that trade doesn’t make sense. Basically there are only two teams that it could be; either the Seattle Seahawks or our very own Buffalo Bills.
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know that both teams need a franchise QB and with both teams sitting in the top 13 picks it makes sense pick value wise. While Seattle is certainly a team who could fit the bill they have needs in a variety of places and recently committed $8 million in cap space to QB Travaris Jackson. With Jackson in place for at least one more season and 2nd year player Josh Portis high in the minds of Seattle’s coaches them paying the heavy price of trading up makes less sense the deeper you look.
That leaves Buffalo who recently resigned Ryan Fitzpatrick to a deal that we later learned was very cap friendly should the Bills decide they want to move on to a new QB. Now we have all heard Gailey and Nix say over and over again about they like and trust Fitzpatrick but there is still that nagging feeling in the back of all of our minds that he’s not quite the guy for the future.
Now for those who haven’t read it Brian Galliford, a Bills media colleague of mine who I read regularly, wrote last year about why the Bills and Chan Gailey are always linked to the mobile QB. Two years ago it was Tim Tebow, this past draft it was Cam Newton and now it’s RGIII. Galliford lifts a quote from SI reporter Tim Layden’s book “Blood, Sweat, and Chalk” (a must read for any football fan);
“Over the next 10 or 15 years it’s going to evolve because the runner-thrower is the kind of quarterback that the college game is producing now. You don’t find a ton of the six-three, six-four, drop-back, stand-up passer. They’re not in college, so we’re not getting them up here.
“There are only so many plays in football; all we’re doing is finding different ways to run them,” continues Gailey. “But there’s no escaping the fact that high school and college football are developing a different type of athlete. Pretty soon – I don’t know how long, but pretty soon – somebody is going to find an athlete who can run and throw and just take the conventional quarterback off the field.”
With that quote in mind there is little wonder as to why the Bills are so often linked, and with our already installed spread style system any questions about whether or not RGIII is a fit for this team or for this coaching staff are clearly answered.
So we get down to cost, how much will it cost the Bills to move up in 8 spots in this draft and take RGIII?
In that same ESPN report from earlier it is noted that the Rams are looking for similar compensation to what the Chargers got from the Giants for Eli Manning. For those that may not recall the Chargers traded the #1 pick in 2004 for the #5 pick in 2004, a 3rd Rounder in 2004, a 1st in 2005, and a 5th Rounder in 2005. Let’s also keep in mind that Les Snead was with the Falcons when they brokered the deal to get Michael Vick.
That trade was #1 overall from San Diego for #5 overall, the Falcons 3rd Round pick, their 2nd Round pick the next year, and WR Tim Dwight. Both trades results in jumps of four spots and there is no way we can get all the way to #2 and not trade both this years and next years 1st Round pick. Not happening, sorry.
So that leaves us with this possible scenario;
We get #2 overall for our 1st, 3rd, and 5th this year, along with a 1st and 3rd in 2013. Now that’s a lot of picks to give up and we have a lot of needs. Keep in mind we have two fourth round picks and two fifth round picks this year so we keep a pick in the 5th and still maintain 7 total picks for the draft. From there we still have the ability to move up down and all around to possibly pick up more picks for this year and next.
Now we all know the Bills have a laundry list of needs but let’s not forget a teams ability to win starts and ends with a franchise QB and that’s just what RGIII is. We first wrote about him back in October at the time we called him an evolution on Michael Vick, a QB with better size, a better arm, and the same level of athleticism. If you haven’t read it yet check it out here. You can also read our scouting report on RGIII here.
Even that may not be enough but it surely would be a great starting point. The Bills have told us they are committed to getting a franchise QB if one is available. Well ladies and gentleman the franchise QB is available and the Rams are selling, are we buying?