If you haven’t seen it by now on Tuesday we released our latest 1st Round Mock Draft. We went through every team and ran down who we think they could take at this point in the process. Obviously with so much time to go and so many all-star games, workouts, and interviews to be had a lot can change. So we want to go beyond just what the first round may look like and go over who some of the lower round options may be for the Bills.
If you missed our Mock Draft, you can click here to see it, but here is who we had the Bills picking and our logic for it;
11. Buffalo-ILB Manti Te’o, Notre Dame
The Bills, or their fans, will be tempted to move up and take a shot at Geno or Wilson but in this mock they stay put and still land a premier player in Manti Te’o. Te’o should lock down the middle of the Buffalo defense and help in pass coverage as well. He’s an ideal MLB for their 43 Cover 2 scheme and should do well filling holes and shedding blocks.
The pick of Te’o solves a big hole we have defensive at MLB for our scheme, but leaves us with big holes at QB, WR, and OLB. In addition to that we have potential issues at SS, CB, TE, and depth issues along both lines of scrimmage. With the Bills pre-season trade for Tavaris Jackson they also have one less pick to work with this year and their big spending in Free Agency could mean no compensatory picks to help get that lost pick back. So with all of that in mind here is how we see the rest of this draft shaking out for the Bills.
2. QB Mike Glennon-NC State
Glennon is one of the hottest names on the market right now, he has had his name mentioned by some in the national media and just yesterday we received word that he would join Tyler Wilson and EJ Manuel in Mobile, AL for the Senior Bowl. Glennon is a guy I was very high on this preseason and saw live in Atlanta v. Tennessee. Glennon is a rhythm passer who needs to complete one or two throws to really get into a groove and get going. He’s got a nice arm, has good size, but as Anthony pointed out this morning his frame is a bit slight.
Glennon still forces some balls that he should know better by now, he’s got to take some of the faith he has out of his arm and trust his reads and his progressions. I don’t mind a QB whose not afraid to take a chance on a lower percentage throw but I do mind a QB who can’t find the safety sitting in a deep zone over the middle. I don’t think Glennon is a Day 1 starter for any team, but I do think he can spend half a year to a full year on the bench and then be ready to roll in 2014. A good NFL comparison for Glennon that you’ll probably hear a lot more as we get closer to April is Drew Bledsoe.
It’s also important to note that Glennon is the former teammate of rookie WR TJ Graham and Graham has his most productive season of his collegiate career when Glennon took over the reins from Russell Wilson two years ago.
3. WR Aaron Mellette-Elon
Many people probably remember Brian Quick for last draft, he was the Appalachian State WR who went at the top of the 2nd Round to the St. Louis Rams. He was the hot name last year coming into the draft and went about as high as could be hoped for given the jump in competition he was making. We actually wrote about Quick last year and his playmaking ability last year. Well if you liked Quick you’re going to really like Mellette.
Mellette is not the athletic freak that Quick is but he’s a more polished WR coming out. I first saw Mellette when he was a true freshman in Boone, NC when he went to play v. Quick and he put on a display. Mellette is a big bodied WR who has the athletic ability to get down the field and go get the deep passes. He’s not a burner by any stretch but he does a good job tracking the deep ball and an even better job attacking the ball while it’s still in the flight.
Mellette has gone over 1,000 yards for the past three years and has had 12 or more TD grabs in each of those seasons as well. He project outside as a potential #1 or #2 QB and he could be a very nice compliment to what we already have in Stevie Johnson.
4. OLB Cameron Lawrence-Mississippi State
Lawrence is one of those prospects who flies under the radar a little bit because of the school he plays at but really catches the eye of NFL scouts. Lawrence is an athletic LB who I feel has the versatility to play either the strong or weak side in our defense. He does a good job taking on blocks and shedding them in order to make plays in addition to dropping back into zone coverage.
He’s not the athletic freak that some like an Alec Ogletree is but that’s not necessarily what we need since we already have Nigel Bradham on the roster. Lawrence has solid instincts that allow him to get a feel for where a play is going to go but he is still susceptible to fakes and can get himself into a bad position where he loses contain or takes false steps.
One of Lawrence’s greatest traits though is his leadership on and off the field. He has been raved about by Coach Mullen and the defensive staff at Mississippi State and with a defense that lacks a leader in the LB core Lawrence would be more than a welcome addition.
5. SAF Rontez Miles-California (Pa.)
People will look at this pick and probably scratch their head because Miles isn’t a well known name or commodity but the 6’0, 205 lbs Kent State transfer has made a big name for himself at the Division II level and is considered to be the top SAF prospect among Small Schoolers. Miles has absolutely destroyed the competition at the Division II level have picked off 10 passes, made over 250 tackles, and 23.5 stops behind the line of scrimmage.
Miles is the kind of prospect you can play up in the box or back in coverage. He’s athletic enough to make plays all over the field and in our double high safety coverage scheme his range is very important. Miles does a good job keeping the play in front of him and is a strong tackler in the open field. He also has been known to deliver a big shot across the middle to unsuspecting WR’s which is something our defense definitely lacks as of now.
The addition of Miles could be the finishing touch on our re-developed secondary that already features two young CB’s in Gilmore and Brooks and a hopefully soon to be re-signed Jarius Byrd. This secondary would combine youth, with athleticism, and be rich in playmaking ability.
6. OT David Quessenberry-San Jose State
Quessenberry is a former walk-on at San Jose State who developed into their starting LT and became one of the best OL in the WAC conference. Quessenberry came to San Jose State as a TE prospect but has done a lot of work in the weight room to add size and muscle to his 6’5 frame. He has long arms thanks to his size and good footwork thanks to his past experience as a TE.
Quessenberry has been a stalwart for the Spartans this year as they are going bowling and his ability to protect junior QB David Fales has been the key to the Spartans success. It’s important to note that Quessenberry does not see many pass rushers in the WAC like he’ll see in the NFL and that at 295 lbs he’ll need to add even more bulk before the combine and pro day.
Quessenberry is a guy you take as a long term prospect, he’s probably a RT prospect in the NFL and some think he could kick inside and work well as a pulling guard in the right blocking scheme. Most importantly though Quessenberry gives us some young depth to build with on a line that badly needs it.