BBD Editor Matthew Elder
UPDATED: February 4th, 2013
1. Kansas City Chiefs
QB Geno Smith-West Virginia (Scouting Report)
Many analysts have begun to question if the Chiefs are really prepared to take Geno Smith #1 overall but in the end I think they are. The other likely options come down to a DE or OT and neither are huge needs for the Chiefs as of this moment. Smith can come and take over the team on Day 1 and despite what many of critics have said he absolutely can be a difference maker.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars
DE Damontre Moore-Texas A&M* (Scouting Report)
With Geno Smith off the board and Tyler Wilson just not quite worth the reach here the Jaguars settle for the best defensive player in the draft. Damontre Moore have put together back to back monster seasons and has done it v both Big 12 and SEC competition. He was dominant on a weekly basis and has the ability to play on the edge in a 43 or 34.
3. Oakland Raiders
OT Luke Joeckel-Texas A&M* (Scouting Report)
The Raiders will likely be moving on from the Carson Palmer experiment but their first order of business should be to protect the QB and there is no better option than Luke Joeckel to do that. Joeckel will take the LT job immediately and allow the Raiders to move Jared Veldheer to RT where he should be more comfortable. While this would have the Raiders going into Day 2 looking for a QB there will not be a happier Raider than Darren McFadden.
4. Philadelphia Eagles
OT Eric Fisher-Central Michigan (Scouting Notes)
If the draft falls this way the Eagles are going to be heartbroken to just miss out on Joeckel but they should have no hesitation in taking Eric Fisher with the next pick. Some will question whether Fisher is a Top 5 talent but after a huge Senior Bowl week he proved that he’s more than capable of handling the best of the best when it comes to protection.
5. Detroit Lions
DE Bjoern Werner-FSU* (Scouting Report)
The Lions must do something to fix a defense that seemed to have more holes than players last year. The Lions struggled to get after the QB and allowed way too many long, time consuming drives. Werner should be a spark plug for a Lions DL that has the potential to be great. He’ll draw attention back to the outside and let stud DT’s Ndamukong Sug and Nick Fairley work freely. This is a situation where adding one piece could solve the entire puzzle.
6. Cleveland Browns
QB Tyler Wilson-Arkansas (Scouting Notes)
The Browns took Brandon Weeden at the end of Round 1 last year but that shouldn’t stop them from taking Tyler Wilson here. Wilson is a strong armed QB from Arkansas who has lots of toughness and plenty of leadership. He knows what it takes to overcome adversity having just dealt with a 2012 season that he would rather forget. He should be able to come into Cleveland and battle the incumbent Brandon Weeden for the Week 1 starting gig.
7. Arizona Cardinals
OT Lane Johnson-Oklahoma (Scouting Report)
When Taylor Lewan decided he wanted to return to Michigan for his senior season he threw a lot of the assumed OT rankings out the window. I say assumed because if you didn’t already consider Lane Johnson a premier OT prospect in this class you assumed wrong (guilty). Johnson had a fantastic week in Mobile and would have been the best OL prospect there if it hadn’t been for Fisher. Johnson helps out a Cardinals OL that was by far the worst in the NFL last year.
8. Buffalo Bills
DE Ezekial Ansah-BYU (Scouting Report)
No QB, No RB, No WR, No CB, and no LB…that’s what every Bills fan may be thinking right now as they read this mock. When Mike Pettine was hired as the Bills Defensive Coordinator it should have been a sign to every fan that you could no longer just assume the Bills would take whichever QB was left. Pettine prides himself on an aggressive, versatile, and always changing defense. The Bills right now are close to the opposite of that. Ansah allows them to insert a piece that while raw is very moldable and coachable. He could play 3 or 4 different positions and fits almost any alignment.
9. New York Jets
NT Jesse Williams-Alabama (Scouting Notes)
It may be a bit early for the big Aussie here but the Jets need to add some beef to the middle of their DL. Williams is an aggressive defender who loves to win at the point of contact and uses his hands a lot better than he’s given credit for. He could fit at any position along the Jets 34 DL and also doubles as FB down along the goal line, thus eliminating the only conceivable use for Tebow.
10. Tennessee Titans
CB Dee Milliner-Alabama* (Scouting Report)
The Titans stick with convention and take Dee Milliner to help fix a passing defense that teams picked on last year. With Cortland Finnegan left the Titans for the Rams prior to the 2012 season many hoped the Titans’s other CB’s would step up but that didn’t happen and Milliner fits that need along with the right value here.
11. San Diego Chargers
WR Keenan Allen-Cal* (Scouting Report)
It may have only been one season but I think it’s pretty safe to say the Robert Meachem FA money was not well spent. While some may assume the rise of Danarrio Alexander makes this pick a luxury I’d disagree. The NFL is all about spreading the field out and with the health of Antonio Gates becoming an ongoing question the need to add another WR is quite clear.
12. Miami Dolphins
OT Dallas Thomas-Tennessee (Scouting Report)
Dallas Thomas is a prospect who I was not very high on last season. I thought as a LT he looked slow footed and out of place. This year though he looked lighter on his feet and better than I had ever seen him. He moved inside for the Vols out of need and dominated there. His quickness and athleticism showed when they asked him to pull and in nearly every game he slid outside to play some OT as well. With questions surrounding Jake Long’s contract starting Thomas provides some needed answers about what if.
13. Tampa Bay Bucs
MLB Kevin Minter-LSU* (Scouting Notes)
The Buccaneers used to be the team to go to if you were a LB or really any defensive player but those days are now long gone. While the offense seemed to finally find its groove last season on the back of the Muscle Hamster the defense continued to be inconsistent and struggled to get off the field. Kevin Minter is an electric MLB who is only a step below what Patrick Willis was coming out. He can fly all over the field and make plays from sideline to sideline.
14. Carolina Panthers
DT Jonathan Hankins-Ohio State* (Scouting Report)
The second DT to go in this draft class is Jonathan Hankins. Almost everyone assumed that Star Lotulelei is the best DT in this class but I’d give the edge to Hankins. I think all the remaining DT’s had some very big questions to answer about their inconsistent tape but when the light comes on its clear to me that Hankins was a step above the rest.
15. New Orleans Saints
WR Cordarelle Patterson-Tennessee* (Scouting Report)
You want to know the best way to welcome Sean Payton back to the NFL? Give him a new toy to play with in Cordarelle Patterson. Patterson may not be available this low come April but if he is watch out for this Saints offense again. Patterson has the size, speed, and big play ability to give every team problems and with a QB like Drew Brees it could be a match made in heaven.
16. St. Louis Rams
TE Tyler Eifert-Notre Dame (Scouting Notes)
It’s getting to be about that time for the Rams to decide if they made the right call with QB Sam Bradford. He’s dealt with complete changes with the front office and coaching staff last year and should have everything he needs in 2013 especially if they add a TE like Eifert who can get down the field and make big plays happen.